Tuesday, October 24, 2006

Election 2006

So how many seats will the Dems pick up? Will they take back the House and/or Senate? I certainly think that this is a possibility but I would not count out Rove and his "72 hour" get out the vote effort at crunch time.

I have been reading too many predictions from Dems who are now cocky beyond all reason. I even read an article today about the Dems figuring out who will get which committee chairmanship. STOP!! Its way to early to say that the Dems will get the 15 seats needed to retake the House. Even if they do their majority will probably be very slim. The Senate requires a change of seven seats, and that's an even harder task.

Its far more reasonable to think that the Dems will get 8-12 seats in the House and 3-4 seats in the Senate. The concept of the "safe seat" has made it very very hard to see huge numbers of seats changing hands. Congress is not very good at anything but they ARE good at protecting their own jobs. This has nothing to do with party affiliations either.

Fact is a majority of Americans feel we are not going in the right direction on a wide variety of issues. The problem is we are a very divided nation, and not just a straight "red" vs "blue" but the right is split as well as the left. There are many factions in national politics at the moment and many powerful single issue interest groups with lots of cash to spend. It all adds up to one great big muddled mess, and it will get 10x worse for the 2008 election.

Thursday, October 12, 2006

I have not posted in a long while. I guess of late I have been too busy or not motivated to write. I will try to rectify that in the coming weeks.

I think I will start by re-visiting one of my favorite topics and that's the season 3 opener of Battlestar Galactica. This is certainly not your "parents" BSG that's for sure. This show is grim and may be the most grim show on TV, but its also honest and one of the things I love the most is that its up to us to decide the moral flaws of its characters and there are many!

I mean this episode packed a lot of stuff that's "current" and in our own news. Suicide Bombers, Terrorism, Religious extremism, references to modern war, etc. People on the Boards are comparing it to the situation in Iraq, but I think a much closer comparison can be made for the Russians in Chechnya. What is going on parrells that far more closely then what we are experiencing in Iraq.

The show has upset some over its harshness. Certainly its far harsher now then at any time except maybe for the "rape" episode of Gina. RM certainly has guts to take this show in the direction he is moving. Its darker then DS9 ever was, and that was pretty dark at times. I said it before and I will say it again, its the best show on TV period and its portrayal of humanity at its worst is the most honest of any show on TV at this time.

Beyond that half a year has gone by now at my new job. Not much to say I guess. Maybe one day I will be able to describe a day in Bronx Housing Court here, but its very hard to describe without having seen it in person. I will say this though. There are probably few places in this country like that place, and for that I am very thankful, very very very thankful. I will leave it at that.